GuoLin2020JFM.pdf (2.15 MB)
Volatility and jump risk in option returns
journal contributionposted on 2022-04-26, 21:22 authored by B Guo, Hai LinHai Lin
We examine the importance of volatility and jump risk in the time-series prediction of S&P 500 index option returns. The empirical analysis provides a different result between call and put option returns. Both volatility and jump risk are important predictors of put option returns. In contrast, only volatility risk is consistently significant in the prediction of call option returns over the sample period. The empirical results support the theory that there is option risk premium associated with volatility and jump risk, and reflect the asymmetry property of S&P 500 index distribution.